This technical report provides a rigorous techno-economic analysis comparing six truck powertrain technologies (diesel, diesel hybrid electric, plug-in hybrid electric, compressed natural gas, battery electric, and fuel cell electric) across three truck vocations for multiple timeframes (2018, 2025, Ultimate). Using NREL’s T3CO model, researchers evaluated comprehensive total cost of ownership including vehicle costs, fuel costs, maintenance, and operational factors. Key findings show that electrified powertrains could be economically competitive as early as 2025 for shorter-range applications if favorable fuel pricing conditions are met. The study emphasizes that electricity and hydrogen fuel prices are the most influential parameters.


